Aligulac won the day in Group A as Harstem seemed to panic in both base trade scenarios he faced getting eliminated from both series because of it (forgetting to bring probes with him against Polt and losing track of his mothership core against Petraeus), leaving TL and I at 1-1. On to predictions for Group B:
elfi vs Starbuck - the Finnish player gets a slight edge (53%), but it's hard to get a feel for where the Protoss player is at in PvZ as he's only played one meaningful series in the last three months; the Slovenian's ZvP has been shaky since he returned to active playing, losing to DmC, fraer, and DnS recently; I don't feel confident in predicting this one, but without other information I'll stick with the odds
Hydra vs Kelazhur - the ROOT team kills have been unremarkable in WCS this year and I see no reason not to accept the odds (82%)
Losers
Starbuck vs Kelazhur - the Brazilian's numbers get skewed from him butchering players in Copa America and NA, so he's favoured (54%), but the Slovenian's ZvT track record (including beating Bunny to get here) is hard to overlook (the last foreign ZvT series he lost was over a year ago), so I'll take the upset
Winners
elfi vs Hydra - there's no reason to question the odds (85%), however much fun it would be to have an upset here
Finals
Starbuck vs elfi - a rematch and rematches typically go to the loser--given how difficult it was to pick previously I'll take the "upset" here; if Aligulac is right and this is Kelazhur see above
I have Hydra and Starbuck going forward, whereas Aligulac has the Korean and elfi (TL has the obvious and Kelazhur).
This article is written by Peter Levi (@eyeonthesens)
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